@article{WACHTER:2002:AATEOT,
   AUTHOR = {Wachter, Kenneth W. and Knodel, John E. and VanLandingham, Mark J.},
    TITLE = {AIDS and the elderly of {T}hailand: Projecting familial impacts},
  JOURNAL = {Demography},
   VOLUME = {39},
     YEAR = {2002},
    PAGES = {25--41},
      URL = {http://muse.jhu.edu/login?uri=/journals/demography/v039/39.1wachter.html},
 ABSTRACT = {We apply aggregate demographic analysis and computer
             microsimulation to project the number of older Thais who will lose
             children to AIDS during their own lifetimes and to assess their
             involvement with ill children through caregiving and coresidence.
             Parental bereavements from AIDS are predicted to peak at around
             80,000 per year between 2003 and 2007. Despite an HIV prevalence of
             only $2\%, 13\%$ of Thais who were over age 50 as of 1995 are
             likely to experience the loss of at least one adult child to AIDS,
             and $12\%$ of them will lose multiple children. The chance of
             losing an adult child during one's lifetime will be $70\%$ higher
             than if there were no AIDS epidemic. The impacts of the worldwide
             epidemic of HIV-AIDS extend far beyond the infected individuals
             themselves. Demographic disruptions, recognized early by Palloni
             and Lee (1992), loom ever larger. A host of emotional, economic,
             social, and physical strains on family members have been surveyed
             by Bloom and Godwin (1997), Bor and Elford (1994), and Patel
             (1995). Orphanhood and the plight of children whose parents are
             living with or dying of AIDS are attracting particular attention...},
  EDNOTES = {<abpart>},
   }