@book{WACHTER:1997:BZATST,
    TITLE = {Between Zeus and the Salmon: The Biodemography of Longevity},
     ISBN = {0309057876},
   EDITOR = {Wachter, Kenneth W. and Finch, Caleb E.},
     YEAR = {1997},
PUBLISHER = {National Academies Press},
  ADDRESS = {Washington, DC},
      URL = {http://www.nap.edu/books/0309057876/html},
   }

        

@article{WACHTER:1997:KRFTE:10.1098/rstb.1997.0166,
   AUTHOR = {Wachter, K.W.},
    TITLE = {Kinship resources for the elderly},
  JOURNAL = {Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B},
     ISSN = {0962-8436, 1471-2970 (electronic)},
   VOLUME = {352},
   NUMBER = {1363},
     YEAR = {1997},
    PAGES = {1811--1817},
       ID = {info:doi/10.1098/rstb.1997.0166},
 ABSTRACT = {As population ageing strains social insurance systems, cohorts
             whose own fertility was low will be reaching elderly status,
             leaving close biological kin in short supply. However, there is a
             countervailing trend, inasmuch as burgeoning divorce, remarriage
             and family blending have expanded the numbers and varieties of
             step-kin and other non-standard kinship ties. Methods of computer
             microsimulation in conjunction with richer sample surveys can help
             us to foresee the contours of kin numbers and kinship relations in
             the future. Prime areas include the likely frequency of kin-
             deprived elderly, the overlap with economic deprivation and the
             interaction between kin frequency and intensity of contact. Step-
             ties may be weaker but nonetheless critical in raising the
             probability of at least one compatible member with whom one can
             choose to maintain contact and rely on. Kinship networks extended
             through half- and step-links, by stretching across racial and
             economic lines, may promote social cohesion.},
   }

        

@article{WACHTER:1997:TTVOKM,
   AUTHOR = {Wachter, Kenneth W. and Blackwell, Debra and Hammel, Eugene A.},
    TITLE = {Testing the validity of kinship microsimulation},
  JOURNAL = {Journal of Mathematical and Computer Modeling},
     ISSN = {0895-7177},
   VOLUME = {26},
   NUMBER = {6},
     YEAR = {1997},
    PAGES = {89--104},
ZBLABSTRACT = {Computer microsimulation is capable of generating detailed
             reconstructions and forecasts of the numbers of living kin that
             members of a population have. The available detail, specificity,
             and consistency of vital rates for the past and the accuracy of
             vital rates projected for the future necessarily limit the accuracy
             of the kinship estimates that can be produced.\par This study is an
             external validity test of {\it J. Reeves'} [A statistical analysis
             and projection of the effects of divorce on future U.S. kinship
             structure. Ph.D. Thesis, Univ. California/Berkeley (1982)]
             reconstruction and forecast of U.S. kin counts with the SOCSIM
             microsimulation program. The external standard is provided by
             estimates from the 1987-88 wave of the National Survey of Families
             and Households, the first detailed information on numbers and ages
             of kin for the United States. We compare forecasts with estimates
             for average numbers of living grandchildren, living full-siblings,
             and living half-siblings as functions of age. We find remarkably
             close agreement for some of the predictions, along with several
             instances of systematic discrepancies. The discrepancies most
             likely stem from errors in the forecasts rather than in the survey
             estimates. Interacting rather than isolable errors appear to be
             responsible. Our validity tests provide a basis for qualified faith
             in the effectiveness of kinship microsimulation.},
 ZBLCLASS = {91D20},
       ID = {info:zbl/0884.92034, info:doi/10.1016/S0895-7177(97)00172-6},
   }

        

@incollection{WACHTER:1997:BZATSI,
   AUTHOR = {Wachter, Kenneth W. and Finch, Caleb E.},
    TITLE = {Between Zeus and the Salmon: Introduction},
   EDITOR = {Wachter, Kenneth W. and Finch, Caleb E.},
BOOKTITLE = {Between Zeus and the Salmon: The Biodemography of Longevity},
     ISBN = {0309057876},
     YEAR = {1997},
PUBLISHER = {National Academies Press},
  ADDRESS = {Washington, DC},
    PAGES = {1--16},
      URL = {http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=5740&page=1},
   }