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Personal bibliography of
Kenneth Willcox Wachter
[ CalNetDS
- MGP
- MathScinet
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Found 2 works with YEAR equal to " 1986"
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K.W. Wachter
Ergodicity and inverse projection
Population Studies 40 (No. 2), 275--287 (1986).
[GScholar?]
[DOI]
[BibTeX]
Abstract: In ordinary demographic projection, the starting age structure of a population ceases to matter after a time, whatever changes the birth and death rates undergo within bounds. The inhomogeneous or `weak' ergodic theorem asserts this eventual independence of starting state. Does the same independence hold true for inverse projection? This paper proves that the answer is `yes' provided the model life-table family satisfies certain reasonable conditions, but that the answer can be `no', if more extreme life-table families are allowed. The inhomogeneous ergodic theorem for inverse projection proved here, and the counter-examples to its extension, have implications for the validation of aggregative reconstructions in historical demography and to the contemporary forecasting of sub-populations subject to constraints.
@article{WACHTER:1986:EAIP:10.1080/0032472031000142076,
AUTHOR = {Wachter, K.W.},
TITLE = {Ergodicity and inverse projection},
JOURNAL = {Population Studies},
VOLUME = {40},
NUMBER = {2},
YEAR = {1986},
PAGES = {275--287},
ID = {info:doi/10.1080/0032472031000142076},
ABSTRACT = {In ordinary demographic projection, the starting age structure of a
population ceases to matter after a time, whatever changes the
birth and death rates undergo within bounds. The inhomogeneous or
`weak' ergodic theorem asserts this eventual independence of
starting state. Does the same independence hold true for inverse
projection? This paper proves that the answer is `yes' provided the
model life-table family satisfies certain reasonable conditions,
but that the answer can be `no', if more extreme life-table
families are allowed. The inhomogeneous ergodic theorem for inverse
projection proved here, and the counter-examples to its extension,
have implications for the validation of aggregative reconstructions
in historical demography and to the contemporary forecasting of
sub-populations subject to constraints.},
}
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K.W. Wachter and E.A. Hammel
The genesis of experimental history
In The World We Have Gained: Histories of Population and Social Structure (Lloyd Bonfield, Richard Smith and Keith Wrightson, editors), Basil Blackwell. Oxford, UK (1986).
The book consists of essays presented to Peter Laslett on his seventieth birthday.
[GScholar?]
[BibTeX]
[Editorial notes]
@incollection{WACHTER:1986:TGOEH,
AUTHOR = {Wachter, K.W. and Hammel, E.A.},
TITLE = {The genesis of experimental history},
EDITOR = {Bonfield, Lloyd and Smith, Richard and Wrightson, Keith},
BOOKTITLE = {The World We Have Gained: Histories of Population and Social
Structure},
ISBN = {0631138714, 9780631138716},
YEAR = {1986},
PUBLISHER = {Basil Blackwell},
ADDRESS = {Oxford, UK},
NOTE = {The book consists of essays presented to Peter Laslett on his
seventieth birthday.},
EDNOTES = {<bookdetails>Unable to find a TOC, hence no page numbers for this
article},
}
<bookdetails>Unable to find a TOC, hence no page numbers for this article
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